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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
61%
September Meeting
52%
3 more
$1.86M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
64 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
70%
25 bps increase
23%
3 more
$412K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
49 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
1 (25 bps)
41%
0 (0 bps)
31%
4 more
$96K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$62
43 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
53%
Pause–Pause–Pause
45%
7 more
$652K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$48
63 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
63%
Pause–Pause–Pause
33%
7 more
$607K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$40
47 trading now
Fed Decision in December?
No change
57%
25 bps increase
38%
3 more
NEW
$586.95
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
27 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$5.8K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$294
44 trading now
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$703.44
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
40 trading now
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
0
48%
Yes
No
1
18%
Yes
No
NEW
$195.41
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$53
35 trading now
Fed Decision in January?
No change
56%
25 bps increase
25%
3 more
NEW
$164.77
Vol.
Jan 27
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$44
26 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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